🌐 Other
A military coup in any G20 nation during 2026 — does it happen?
15¢
YES Price
—
85¢
NO Price
—
¢ 25M
¢ Pool
Total staked
244d
Days Left
Dec 31, 2026
Probability Chart
About This Market
Political instability in several G20 member states has been flagged by analysts and risk monitors. Markets assign a 15% probability of a military coup or unconstitutional seizure of executive power occurring in at least one G20 nation during 2026.
Resolution Criteria
YES if: A military coup or unconstitutional seizure of executive power occurs in any G20 member nation in 2026.
NO if: All G20 nations maintain their current constitutional form of government without a military coup in 2026.
Sources:
Reuters ·
AP ·
UN ·
Freedom House ·
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