🌐 Other
Does the Russia-Ukraine war formally end in 2026?
44¢
YES Price
—
56¢
NO Price
—
¢ 72M
¢ Pool
Total staked
244d
Days Left
Dec 31, 2026
Probability Chart
About This Market
Peace negotiations between Russia and Ukraine have been ongoing with active US mediation. Markets give a 44% probability of a formal end to the conflict — through a peace agreement, ceasefire, or armistice — at some point in 2026.
Resolution Criteria
YES if: A formal peace agreement or armistice ends active hostilities between Russia and Ukraine in 2026.
NO if: The Russia-Ukraine war continues without a formal end in 2026.
Sources:
UN ·
US State Department ·
Reuters ·
BBC ·
Kyiv Independent ·
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