🌐 Other
Does North Korea conduct a nuclear weapons test in 2026?
28¢
YES Price
—
72¢
NO Price
—
¢ 42M
¢ Pool
Total staked
244d
Days Left
Dec 31, 2026
Probability Chart
About This Market
North Korea has been advancing its nuclear weapons program and has conducted tests at irregular intervals historically. Markets give a 28% probability of a nuclear test by the DPRK in 2026, as confirmed by international seismic monitoring agencies such as the CTBTO.
Resolution Criteria
YES if: North Korea conducts a nuclear weapons test in 2026 as confirmed by international monitoring agencies.
NO if: North Korea does not conduct a nuclear weapons test in 2026.
Sources:
CTBTO ·
US State Department ·
Reuters ·
South Korean intelligence ·
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