🗳️  Politics

Does Emmanuel Macron resign as French President in 2026?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026 2,450 traders Official market Opened Apr 3, 2026
15¢
YES Price
85¢
NO Price
¢ 32M
¢ Pool
Total staked
244d
Days Left
Dec 31, 2026
Probability Chart
YES 15% NO 85%
¢ 4,800,000 on YES ¢ 27,200,000 on NO
About This Market
Emmanuel Macron has faced sustained domestic political pressure following a difficult 2025 and a hung parliament. Markets give a 15% probability of his resignation in 2026, which would trigger an early French presidential election.
Resolution Criteria

YES if: Emmanuel Macron resigns as President of France before December 31, 2026.

NO if: Emmanuel Macron remains as French President through 2026.

Sources: Elysée Palace ·  Le Monde ·  Le Figaro ·  Reuters · 
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Market Stats
Total Volume
¢ 32M
Traders
2,450
YES pool
¢ 4.8M
NO pool
¢ 27.2M
Opens
Apr 3, 2026
Resolves
Dec 31, 2026
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