🗳️  Politics

Gavin Newsom to win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Resolves Sep 1, 2028 6,900 traders Proposed by EntebbeProphet Opened Apr 3, 2026
25¢
YES Price
75¢
NO Price
¢ 92M
¢ Pool
Total staked
854d
Days Left
Sep 1, 2028
Probability Chart
YES 25% NO 75%
¢ 23,000,000 on YES ¢ 69,000,000 on NO
About This Market
California Governor Gavin Newsom is the early frontrunner for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination. A potential White House run depends on his national profile and performance, with current odds placing him at around 25% to secure the party's nomination.
Resolution Criteria

YES if: Gavin Newsom wins the 2028 Democratic Party presidential primary and becomes the party's nominee.

NO if: Another Democrat wins the 2028 presidential nomination.

Sources: Politico ·  FiveThirtyEight ·  CNN ·  DNC records · 
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Market Stats
Total Volume
¢ 92M
Traders
6,900
YES pool
¢ 23M
NO pool
¢ 69M
Opens
Apr 3, 2026
Resolves
Sep 1, 2028
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