🗳️ Politics

Democrats to win control of the US House of Representatives in the 2026 midterms?

Resolves Nov 4, 2026 10,800 traders Proposed by AbimOracle Opened Apr 3, 2026

45¢

YES Price

—

55¢

NO Price

—

¢ 145M

¢ Pool

Total staked

187d

Days Left

Nov 4, 2026

Probability Chart

YES 45% NO 55%

¢ 65,250,000 on YES ¢ 79,750,000 on NO

About This Market

The 2026 US midterm elections on November 3 determine control of the 120th Congress. All 435 House seats are contested. Democrats need to flip a net of seats to reclaim the majority from Republicans — a historically challenging task for the party out of the White House.

Resolution Criteria

YES if: Democrats win more than 217 seats in the US House of Representatives and control the chamber.

NO if: Republicans retain their House majority after the 2026 midterm elections.

Sources: Politico · FiveThirtyEight · CNN · Associated Press · Election results ·

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