🗳️  Politics

Democrats to flip the US Senate in the 2026 midterm elections?

Resolves Nov 4, 2026 9,600 traders Proposed by admin Opened Apr 3, 2026
38¢
YES Price
62¢
NO Price
¢ 128M
¢ Pool
Total staked
187d
Days Left
Nov 4, 2026
Probability Chart
YES 38% NO 62%
¢ 48,640,000 on YES ¢ 79,360,000 on NO
About This Market
35 of 100 US Senate seats are up for election in the 2026 midterms on November 3. Democrats need a net gain of seats to flip the chamber. Current polling shows a competitive race with Republicans defending several vulnerable seats.
Resolution Criteria

YES if: Democrats win enough Senate seats to hold a majority in the 120th US Senate.

NO if: Republicans retain or expand their Senate majority in the 2026 midterms.

Sources: Politico ·  FiveThirtyEight ·  CNN ·  Associated Press · 
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Market Stats
Total Volume
¢ 128M
Traders
9,600
YES pool
¢ 48.6M
NO pool
¢ 79.4M
Opens
Apr 3, 2026
Resolves
Nov 4, 2026
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