🗳️ Politics

A UK snap general election before the end of 2026 — does it happen?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026 2,650 traders Proposed by admin Opened Apr 3, 2026

22¢

YES Price

—

78¢

NO Price

—

¢ 35M

¢ Pool

Total staked

244d

Days Left

Dec 31, 2026

Probability Chart

YES 22% NO 78%

¢ 7,700,000 on YES ¢ 27,300,000 on NO

About This Market

The UK's next scheduled general election is not due until 2029, but political instability could force an early vote. Markets currently give only a 22% chance of a snap election before December 31, 2026, with the Starmer government still in its early term.

Resolution Criteria

YES if: A UK general election takes place before December 31, 2026.

NO if: No UK general election takes place before the end of 2026.

Sources: UK Parliament · BBC News · The Guardian · Electoral Commission ·

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