🗳️  Politics

Does the California billionaire wealth tax pass in the 2026 state election?

Resolves Nov 4, 2026 2,900 traders Proposed by admin Opened Apr 3, 2026
32¢
YES Price
68¢
NO Price
¢ 38M
¢ Pool
Total staked
187d
Days Left
Nov 4, 2026
Probability Chart
YES 32% NO 68%
¢ 12,160,000 on YES ¢ 25,840,000 on NO
About This Market
California voters decide on a proposed one-time wealth tax targeting billionaires in the November 2026 ballot. Current market odds show a 32% chance of passage amid significant opposition from business groups and tech industry lobbying.
Resolution Criteria

YES if: California voters approve the billionaire wealth tax ballot measure in 2026.

NO if: California voters reject the billionaire wealth tax ballot measure.

Sources: California Secretary of State ·  LA Times ·  Politico · 
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Market Stats
Total Volume
¢ 38M
Traders
2,900
YES pool
¢ 12.2M
NO pool
¢ 25.8M
Opens
Apr 3, 2026
Resolves
Nov 4, 2026
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