💰 Economy

Does Brent crude oil fall below $60 per barrel by December 2026?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026 2,650 traders Proposed by admin Opened Apr 3, 2026

28¢

YES Price

—

72¢

NO Price

—

¢ 35M

¢ Pool

Total staked

244d

Days Left

Dec 31, 2026

Probability Chart

YES 28% NO 72%

¢ 9,800,000 on YES ¢ 25,200,000 on NO

About This Market

Oil prices have been volatile in 2026 amid geopolitical tensions and OPEC+ supply decisions. Markets give a 28% probability that Brent crude closes below $60/barrel at any point before the end of December 2026 — a level that would signal significant demand weakness or supply glut.

Resolution Criteria

YES if: Brent crude oil futures close below $60 per barrel on any trading day before December 31, 2026.

NO if: Oil prices remain at or above $60 per barrel through December 31, 2026.

Sources: Bloomberg · Reuters · OPEC · Energy Information Administration ·

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