💰  Economy

Does the S&P 500 hit a new all-time high by December 31, 2026?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026 6,600 traders Proposed by admin Opened Apr 3, 2026
67¢
YES Price
33¢
NO Price
¢ 88M
¢ Pool
Total staked
244d
Days Left
Dec 31, 2026
Probability Chart
YES 67% NO 33%
¢ 58,960,000 on YES ¢ 29,040,000 on NO
About This Market
The S&P 500 has come under pressure in 2026 due to tariff concerns and Fed policy uncertainty. Markets give a 67% probability that the index recovers and closes at a fresh all-time high before year-end — a significant recovery from current levels.
Resolution Criteria

YES if: The S&P 500 index closes at a new all-time high on any trading day before December 31, 2026.

NO if: The S&P 500 fails to close at an all-time high by December 31, 2026.

Sources: NYSE ·  Bloomberg ·  Reuters ·  CNBC ·  Yahoo Finance · 
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Market Stats
Total Volume
¢ 88M
Traders
6,600
YES pool
¢ 59M
NO pool
¢ 29M
Opens
Apr 3, 2026
Resolves
Dec 31, 2026
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