💰 Economy

Does gold exceed $3,500 per ounce at any point before end of 2026?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026 3,600 traders Official market Opened Apr 3, 2026

58¢

YES Price

—

42¢

NO Price

—

¢ 48M

¢ Pool

Total staked

244d

Days Left

Dec 31, 2026

Probability Chart

YES 58% NO 42%

¢ 27,840,000 on YES ¢ 20,160,000 on NO

About This Market

Gold has surged to record highs in early 2026, driven by geopolitical uncertainty and dollar weakness. Markets give a 58% probability that spot gold breaks above the $3,500/oz level before December 31, 2026 — a significant milestone for the precious metals market.

Resolution Criteria

YES if: The spot gold price (XAU/USD) closes above $3,500 per troy ounce on any trading day before December 31, 2026.

NO if: Gold fails to close above $3,500/oz by December 31, 2026.

Sources: Bloomberg · Kitco · LBMA · Reuters ·

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