🌐 Other

Does OpenAI release GPT-5 in 2026?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026 3,950 traders Proposed by AbimOracle Opened Apr 3, 2026

74¢

YES Price

—

26¢

NO Price

—

¢ 52M

¢ Pool

Total staked

244d

Days Left

Dec 31, 2026

Probability Chart

YES 74% NO 26%

¢ 38,480,000 on YES ¢ 13,520,000 on NO

About This Market

OpenAI's next major model — widely anticipated to be branded GPT-5 or an equivalent flagship — is expected to dramatically surpass current capabilities. Industry insiders suggest a 2026 release is highly likely given OpenAI's development roadmap and intense competitive pressure from Google, Meta, and others.

Resolution Criteria

YES if: OpenAI officially releases and makes GPT-5 (or equivalent next major model) publicly accessible in 2026.

NO if: OpenAI does not release GPT-5 or its equivalent before December 31, 2026.

Sources: OpenAI official blog · The Verge · TechCrunch · Reuters ·

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