🪙 Crypto

A Bitcoin ETF to reach $100 billion in AUM by end of 2026?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026 2,650 traders Proposed by admin Opened Apr 3, 2026

52¢

YES Price

—

48¢

NO Price

—

¢ 35M

¢ Pool

Total staked

244d

Days Left

Dec 31, 2026

Probability Chart

YES 52% NO 48%

¢ 18,200,000 on YES ¢ 16,800,000 on NO

About This Market

Bitcoin spot ETFs have been among the most successful investment product launches of the decade. With continued institutional inflows, markets give a 52% probability that at least one BTC ETF crosses the $100 billion AUM threshold before December 31, 2026.

Resolution Criteria

YES if: At least one Bitcoin spot ETF reaches $100 billion in Assets Under Management before December 31, 2026.

NO if: No Bitcoin ETF reaches $100 billion in AUM by December 31, 2026.

Sources: Bloomberg ETF data · BlackRock · Fidelity · CoinDesk ·

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