🪙  Crypto

Does Binance receive regulatory approval to re-enter the US market in 2026?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026 2,450 traders Proposed by admin Opened Apr 3, 2026
44¢
YES Price
56¢
NO Price
¢ 32M
¢ Pool
Total staked
244d
Days Left
Dec 31, 2026
Probability Chart
YES 44% NO 56%
¢ 14,080,000 on YES ¢ 17,920,000 on NO
About This Market
Binance reached a landmark $4.3 billion settlement with US authorities in 2023, following which it ceased serving US retail customers. Markets give a 44% probability of Binance receiving regulatory clearance to re-launch for US users under the new crypto-friendly administration.
Resolution Criteria

YES if: Binance receives regulatory approval and re-launches services to US retail customers in 2026.

NO if: Binance does not receive approval to serve US retail customers in 2026.

Sources: CFTC ·  DOJ records ·  CoinDesk ·  Bloomberg Crypto · 
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Market Stats
Total Volume
¢ 32M
Traders
2,450
YES pool
¢ 14.1M
NO pool
¢ 17.9M
Opens
Apr 3, 2026
Resolves
Dec 31, 2026
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