🪙 Crypto

A comprehensive US crypto regulatory framework to become law by December 2026?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026 3,200 traders Official market Opened Apr 3, 2026

58¢

YES Price

—

42¢

NO Price

—

¢ 42M

¢ Pool

Total staked

244d

Days Left

Dec 31, 2026

Probability Chart

YES 58% NO 42%

¢ 24,360,000 on YES ¢ 17,640,000 on NO

About This Market

The US Congress and SEC have been working on comprehensive crypto market structure legislation for several years. Markets give a 58% probability of a framework being signed into law or fully implemented before December 31, 2026 — a watershed moment for the industry's long-term legitimacy.

Resolution Criteria

YES if: A new comprehensive US crypto regulatory framework is signed into law or fully implemented by December 31, 2026.

NO if: No comprehensive US crypto regulatory framework is enacted by December 31, 2026.

Sources: SEC.gov · Congress records · CoinDesk · Reuters ·

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